Real estate investment will increase in 2021

Real estate investment is expected to rise 25% in 2021, meaning that it would go back to the levels preceding the pandemic. This is the conclusion that has been reached by CBRE, the real estate consultancy. In addition, CBRE calculates that in 2021 real estate deals could reach up to 12.000 million euros (more specifically between 10.500 and 12.000 million euros). Undoubtedly, this is very good news for the real estate sector, especially taking into account the turbulent times we are living through. Some months ago in this blog, we wrote an article about how the real estate sector endures the pull of the coronavirus. In that article, we echoed the commonly held opinion of many experts that reported that housing was resisting the pandemic much better than other businesses. In addition, we spoke about the strength and resilience of our real estate system as well as mentioning all the targets focusing on making housing in Spain regrow. If the forecasts of the real estate consultancy are fulfilled, then the targets will have been achieved because that 25% growth regarding real estate deals would be confirmed. Therefore we would be returning to the standards of 2019, when the coronavirus had still not appeared to shake the world.

Real estate investment will increase in 2021

THE RESIDENTIAL SECTOR ON THE RISE

As in 2020, the favourable impetus toward the Spanish real estate sector is expected to take place in housing rental and student residences. In this regard, the international investor can play a determining role because the low interest rates together with the profitability of bonds in some countries, as well as the policies to fight the coronavirus, aimed at encouraging investment, can all be decisive factors to help foreign homebuyers make decisions to carry out deals in our country. To this end, the European vaccination plan is very important because as it nears completion the activity in the real estate sector is expected to reactivate, especially during the second semestre of the year. Thus far, the main pillar of the Spanish real estate system is the residential sector, especially the rental one. In Spain, the price of rental housing has got considerably cheaper, and this fact has enabled a large part of the population to have access to renting. Hence, this has resulted in an important increase in the number of completed deals. As for sales in 2021, this real estate consultancy believes that 500.000 houses can be sold, even though there would be a slight pushback on prices of around 3%. In any case, according to analysts the evolution of the pandemic will be the key factor that will affect facts and figures.

Real estate investment will increase in 2021

INCREASE IN LOGISTIC WAREHOUSES

On the other hand, logistic warehouses will also be very much in demand due to the boom of electronic commerce. We must take into account that the health crisis we are living through has rocketed online shopping and this has had an impact on making logistic warehouses be of greater interest. It is expected that in 2021 an investment of 2.000 million euros will take place in this sector, which is 600 million more than in 2020. With regard to the other sectors most affected by the pandemic, as for instance the industry of hotels, the real estate consultancy predicts an economic recovery, always subject to the evolution of the health crisis, during the second half of 2021. In the case of the office sector, investors are expected to be selective and to give priority to those premises with assured profitability. In relation to shopping centres or shops at street level, there is a certain level of uncertainty because the client is not willing to take a risk in this sector and therefore before carrying out any investment gives it much thought. In Estate One we will continue to follow closely future developments.

Picture 01: jcomp

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